Executive Summary The global spread of COVID-19 has impacted the economy with extreme speed and severity. The pandemic has caused consumer spending to contract and has increased unemployment, leading to an economic recession beginning in February. The Federal...
The Three Phases We view the disruptions from COVID-19 in three distinct phases of economic activity: Mitigation, Adaptation, and the eventual Return to Growth. During the Mitigation phase, companies must take quick defensive measures like freezing hiring, reducing...
COVID-19 Economic Update Two catalysts in one. Published: March 2020 Unexpected Turbulance The world is going through significant turbulence right now. The spreading of COVID-19 has become top of mind for everyone. First, we hope everyone stays healthy and this virus...
2020 Economic Outlook It’s all about the consumer Published: February 2020 Executive Summary Last year, we noted end market users could potentially reduce “discretionary” spending categories (i.e. advertising, technology, and other variable cost areas) due to...
Recession Outlook Third Quarter 2019 The U.S. is unlikely to see a recession in the next 12-months Published: August 2019 Executive Summary Our proprietary recession model predicts a low probability of a recession occurring in 2019 and the first half of 2020, but the...
Recession Outlook Second Quarter 2019 The U.S. is unlikely to see an economic correction in the coming year Published: April 2019 Executive Summary Our proprietary recession model continues to show a low probability of a recession occurring in 2019. Supporting U.S....
